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Monday, October 12
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The Lead

Brewers Beat Skubal Twice to End Skid Against Dodgers

Milwaukee's 2-1 win in NLCS Game 1 came entirely off Los Angeles ace Tarik Skubal: Brice Turang homered in the fourth, and Luis Lara bounced an RBI single up the middle in the fifth. It ended a seven-game postseason skid against the Dodgers and put the Brewers up 1-0 in the series.

Neither run needed sustained pressure. One came from a single swing and the other from a ball that found a gap, which is a thin way to beat the two-time defending champions. Milwaukee did not have to out-slug a lineup built to overwhelm opponents. It had to make one run per swing count, and the Dodgers' one run was not enough to answer.

The Dodgers' reputation rests on depth and run production, so a one-run night is the number that cuts against the usual assumption about them. A low-scoring formula is also the most fragile way to win a series, because it depends on a quality starter and a few well-timed contacts. Game 2 shows whether Milwaukee built a template or caught a single good night against Skubal.

The Rest of the Slate
NFL
Week 5 produced a 27-27 tie between Washington and the Giants after an overtime gaffe cost Washington a chance at victory, while Jacksonville beat Philadelphia 19-17 when Little connected from 57 yards as time expired at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. A tie counts as half a win in the standings, a small figure that tends to matter only when tiebreakers arrive.
Formula 1
Max Verstappen won the Singapore Grand Prix from the front of the grid, 7.3 seconds ahead of Charles Leclerc with Kimi Antonelli third, after taking Saturday's sprint from pole. Back-to-back wins following his first victory of the season a week earlier make this a run of form, and the next race is the test of whether it carries over.
WTA Tour
Ottawa's Gabriela Dabrowski and Brazil's Luisa Stefani beat No. 1 seeds Katerina Siniakova and Zhang Shuai 6-1, 6-2 in the China Open final in Beijing, giving Dabrowski her 25th career tour doubles title. It is her fifth title of the season, a volume of finals wins that holds up as a long-term measure rather than a single good week.
The Number
151

Jahmyr Gibbs' rushing yards against Arizona Gibbs added two more scores to that total while Detroit shook off a slow start and scored on seven consecutive drives. A ground game that produces at this volume gives Detroit a floor when the passing offence stalls, so watch whether Gibbs' workload stays at this level, because it is the clearest indicator of how Detroit intends to protect its lead-footed starts.

What's On Today
1:00 PM ET · Florida at Buffalo
5:00 PM ET · Dodgers at Brewers, NLCS Game 2
7:00 PM ET · Ottawa at New Jersey
8:00 PM ET · Guardians at Rays, ALCS Game 1
Top Dog — Betting Angle

The pick: Milwaukee Brewers moneyline in NLCS Game 2 against the Dodgers, at a reasonable price. Milwaukee is at home and has just shown it can scratch out runs against the best pitcher Los Angeles has.

“Streaks end on the swings nobody planned for”
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